Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#135
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Pace67.7#176
Improvement+0.0#187

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#133
Improvement-3.5#317

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#135
Improvement+3.5#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 77   @ Iowa St. L 64-78 24%     0 - 1 -4.6 +4.0 +4.8
  Nov 14, 2010 119   @ Creighton L 70-74 35%     0 - 2 +2.1 +3.0 +2.9
  Nov 16, 2010 303   Alabama St. W 74-46 91%     1 - 2 +15.7 -6.0 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2010 322   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-66 83%     2 - 2 -0.2 -4.1 -3.8
  Nov 28, 2010 220   @ Pepperdine W 88-74 58%     3 - 2 +14.0 +0.7 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2010 314   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-77 81%     4 - 2 -3.1 -3.2 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2010 335   UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-55 96%     5 - 2 -5.4 -9.7 -8.2
  Dec 11, 2010 45   @ USC L 52-60 15%     5 - 3 +5.4 +6.3 +6.7
  Dec 16, 2010 25   @ Arizona L 58-63 10%     5 - 4 +11.0 +7.9 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2010 108   Air Force W 74-63 57%     6 - 4 +11.4 +0.7 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2010 114   @ Montana L 80-83 34%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +3.4 +3.7 +2.6
  Dec 31, 2010 247   @ Montana St. L 78-86 65%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -9.8 -0.7 -1.5
  Jan 06, 2011 291   Idaho St. W 82-80 OT 89%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -9.2 -5.4 -5.8
  Jan 08, 2011 166   Weber St. L 67-68 70%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -4.3 -1.7 -1.6
  Jan 15, 2011 316   Sacramento St. W 79-58 92%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +7.4 -6.2 -6.4
  Jan 20, 2011 255   @ Eastern Washington L 59-72 68%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -15.5 -1.7 -1.4
  Jan 22, 2011 260   @ Portland St. W 71-59 68%     9 - 8 3 - 4 +9.3 -1.5 -0.7
  Jan 31, 2011 125   Northern Colorado W 65-54 60%     10 - 8 4 - 4 +10.5 -0.6 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2011 247   Montana St. W 61-41 83%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +11.8 -4.3 -2.9
  Feb 05, 2011 114   Montana W 70-53 58%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +17.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 10, 2011 166   @ Weber St. L 55-82 46%     12 - 9 6 - 5 -23.9 +0.8 +1.0
  Feb 12, 2011 291   @ Idaho St. L 88-90 OT 75%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -6.9 -2.2 -2.7
  Feb 16, 2011 255   Eastern Washington W 83-74 85%     13 - 10 7 - 6 +0.1 -4.1 -4.4
  Feb 19, 2011 164   @ Cal Poly W 59-56 46%     14 - 10 +6.3 +1.7 +1.8
  Feb 24, 2011 316   @ Sacramento St. W 63-42 81%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +13.7 -3.7 -2.5
  Feb 26, 2011 125   @ Northern Colorado L 71-72 36%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +4.9 +2.7 +3.2
  Mar 02, 2011 260   Portland St. W 79-52 85%     16 - 11 9 - 7 +17.9 -4.3 -3.5
  Mar 05, 2011 247   Montana St. W 65-62 83%     17 - 11 -5.2 -4.3 -3.8
  Mar 08, 2011 125   @ Northern Colorado L 70-73 36%     17 - 12 +2.9 +2.6 +3.1
Projected Record 17.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%